Biography Victor Orlovsky

All the relevant news of the week with one letter receive fresh news from Kommersant UK by e -mail to subscribe to OK, August 02, G. Viktor Orlovsky, managing partner of R Ventures: “I have a plan for how to transform the world” Viktor Orlovsky, the managing partner of the Californian company R Ventures, is engaged in ventures in the silicon valley and writes books - for example, about about about.

The differences between nosorogue firms and unicorous companies Oryol V. from rhino to unicorn. How to spend a company through a transformation in a digital era and avoid deadly traps. He told the UK businessman, why receive business education, where corporations take innovative ideas, why the most revolutionary ideas are born in startups and why laws are needed against cybercrime.

And what did the program give you at the University of War from? If they told me then that he graduated from MBA, I would be very surprised. Because he is a talented businessman such as he is called Street Smart in the USA, and MBA training would have a waste of time for him. But all people are different, so I would not say that this is a waste of time for everyone. I went through the course, but did not receive a diploma.

The program was good, but MBA is, first of all, not the knowledge that you acquire, but a non -wagon where you communicate. I studied a lot in Stanford, but it was also a corporate program. Despite the fact that I practically went through the MBA in Stanford for which I am very grateful to the bank in which I worked, corporate training has a drawback: you communicate with your colleagues.

And when you communicate with different people, this greatly enriches the student as a manager and businessman. I have been living in Silicon Valley for a long time and communicate a lot with teachers and students from Stanford and I can say that there the evolution of students who come to the MVA program has changed fundamentally in ten years. If earlier the MBA was finished to make a career jerk and claim the position of the leader, now people do not enter it for the career elevator.

They want to change the paradigm for themselves, do something else, and by this other they mean business. The best students in the world are entered by Stanford, including employees of various corporations. They dream of opening their own companies and going through the path that the founders of Google Sergey Brin and Larry Page, founder of NVIDIA Jensen Juang and many other creators of global businesses have passed before them.

The MBA program is not a waste of time. It gives a synergistic effect - practical knowledge and non -wagation communication with the best, which will enrich you, the opportunity to find co -founders and build relationships, thanks to which unique companies are born. Just do not exchange for trifles. It is necessary to enter it in the best schools, with the strongest selection of students.

Then ChatGPT appeared, and even among scientists, supporters of forced restraining the development and introduction of products based on artificial intelligence were discovered. Your attitude to progress remains the same? Today we live the fourth technological revolution. The beginning of the first technological or industrial revolution was laid by the classical physics of the laws of Newton, which helped create mechanisms that drive the machines in motion with the power of steam or gas, oil and so on.

The second, which we owe to British physics and mathematics, James Maxwell, brought the world electricity and internal combustion engines. The third stage of technological progress began in the years. Albert Einstein, who discovered relativistic laws, and a galaxy of physicists who opened the laws of quantum mechanics, gave us computers, microprocessors based on silicon.

We are now at this stage. The fourth technological revolution created artificial intelligence. We cannot name individual scientists who created this mathematics algorithms, but nevertheless, such a change in paradigms, which leads to a change in the technological formation of new mechanisms, devices, programs, occurred again. Progress, technology fundamentally increase the degree of democracy.

For example, earlier only the elite drove on the carriages, and the cars became available to everyone. Progress transplanted rich people to Tesla - an innovative, but not the most expensive car in the world. The same thing happened with the clock: expensive brands were replaced by functional Apple Watch. The next revolution is moving towards a new wave of democratization, when everyone receives tools that were previously available to few: a super -school, a supermenser, a supervisor.

This is the main thing that generative artificial intelligence can contribute to. In the next generation of generative AI, mankind will receive a supervisor with textbooks and a program adapted to each particular child, and this will make it possible for everyone to become the next Einstein. If only every hundredth child can become it now, because only every hundredth has access to more or less quality education, now such access will have such access and will be almost free.Recently, the founder and general director of OpenAI, Sam Altman, with his co -founder, began the project to create a service that will change their attitude to health, improve the quality of life due to personalized monitoring and individual tips.

I am sure that the cost of subscription will be affordable. Therefore, I believe that AI is useful for society. The second observation - each time the technological leap closed some jobs and created new ones. The cabs disappeared, but drivers appeared, who became much more than cabmen. Soon, thanks to generative AI, the transport will become autonomous, and drivers will not be needed, in China they are already replaced by robotaxi.

Of course, taxi drivers are striking. So people always did, resisting progress. But what seemed to be the sunset of their career, revealed much more rainbow prospects. AI technologies will be fired from the current work of taxi drivers, financiers, lawyers, and contact centers, but will create more opportunities than to be taken. For example, many will be able to engage in creative professions - write texts, music, shoot clips, create virtual worlds and so on.

The real economy is limited by real consumption. People cannot drink anymore and eat what it is biologically possible. They cannot consume more real goods, but they can create and consume an unlimited number of virtual goods, services and information. The fourth technological revolution will lead to the transition of the main economy to a virtual regime. That is, the source of GDP growth will lie in the creation and sale of virtual goods and services, and it is in this area that is the greatest value.

Do not scold your children, who only do what they play. Perhaps this is their future profession. This is good for humanity, because due to robotization there will be no restriction in knowledge and specialists. Generative AI will bring with it a huge market of a virtual economy, which is now in its infancy. It will be equal, and possibly, and will exceed the market of the real economy in volumes.

Skeptics predict that AI will surpass the possibilities of mankind in ten years, enthusiasts call a year. I think the truth is somewhere in the middle. The third stage in the development of AI is to teach it to understand the real world. Now they argue a lot, whether it has a consciousness or not. The very concept of consciousness is poorly defined, scientists do not have a common position about this term.

The large language models of LLM, most likely, will not understand the structure of the reality of the world, as these are compilation models, but this only means that other mathematics, other algorithms are needed. So far we do not know how mathematics works, the algorithms of our brain, but when they become clear, they can be reproduced in computers. Today, scientists dwell on the fact that the super-ourselves will be able to understand and explore the world around him.

There is another level - AI that postulates the concepts. Prophets and philosophers are people who created great concepts that establish a system of relations in the company not only for years, but also for millennia. This is higher than the creation of a new science, more than understanding the laws of nature, because we, as social beings, live these stories. Can I become a superhuman Superhuman, a superinTeleck in the sense of the next superfilosophus that will find an ideal concept for humanity, and we will all believe in it?

I think this will be the highest point of his evolution. AI will be able to lead us, all of humanity behind us, creating a single concept, philosophy for each of us, and reconcile us. Can such AI destroy humanity? Probably yes, but why does he need it? This is a good question to understand what Superhuman is. According to the theory of Darwin, not the strongest survives, but the one who adapts faster.

It always occurs faster in symbiosis. We live in a symbiotic world, and super -social will understand that living in symbiosis is better than rule over the world. And any super -elelect will be a priori humane, so he will try to agree with us. The problem is that AI is also a weapon. And if it is not in those hands, problems may arise here. And this is already happening. The number of cyber attacks with the help of AI over the past two years has grown significantly.

It is necessary to limit not AI, but people, so that AI does not fall into the hands of attackers. It is necessary to create relevant laws. AI is still strongly dependent on fundamental university research. The main role is played by the United States and China. These countries have its own champion companies: Openai, Anthropic and American and Chinese Bigtehi. Europe also has its own champions, such as Mistral AI, a French company specializing in artificial intelligence products.

But it is unlikely that something will come of it: one player always wins in the digital world. I repeat, I think that there will be few winners in this race. In a number of countries, regulators are trying to adopt rather stringent laws that limit the work of generative AI algorithms, which can put a cross on the development of all this direction as a whole.

But this, unfortunately, is simply populism, which in politics dictates largely technological changes. Today, voters' votes are, in fact, Facebook, Google and others. Propaganda now is not politicians, but smart algorithms, the task of which is to increase the screen time.